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ARE THESE NUMBERS ACCURATE?Thread is locked

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Fun Lupon

Fun Lupon

Posts: 7,237Rune Posts by user Forum Profile RuneMetrics Profile
If you multiply the Traded Volume x 5, this player says you get a good estimate of rare numbers. I'd like to know if this is true before the Steam release.

Mytrix said:
NOTE: the calculations have been made from February 2017 until 10 Augustus 2017! The calculations are made on 11 Augustus 2017.

So here we go...

First of all, we had to guess how many unique holly wreaths are traded within the past 6 months. Based on some experience and realistic thoughts, I assumed there are around 20% unique wreaths being traded. Others are at people their bank (never traded) or some even lost by many methods. That makes around 200 unique holly wreaths being traded through the G.E. in the past 6 months.

The price of holly wreath updated 7 times in the past 6 months (as of 11 August 2017). That makes 7 updates for a volume of 200 holly wreaths. Now let’s do the math for the other rares.


First row gives the rare item. The second is the update frequency (6 month). The third row is the traded volume in the G.E.

Holly Wreath

Update frequency: 7 \t
Traded volume: 200

Christmas Scythe

Update frequency: 33
Traded volume: 943
\t\t\t
Half full wine jug

Update frequency: 0,25 to 0,50
Traded volume: 7 to 14

Disk of returning

Update frequency: 1
Traded volume: 30

Pumpkin

Update frequency: 2
Traded volume: 57

Easter egg

Update frequency: 8
Traded volume: 229
\t\t\t
Black Santa hat
Update frequency: 19
Traded volume: 543

Santa hat

Update frequency: 72\t
Traded volume: 2057

Red hallowe’en mask

Update frequency: 16
Traded volume: 457

12-Oct-2020 19:02:53

JecaJeca

JecaJeca

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Interesting analysis. I’d say only the holly wreath total count figure is certain. Some of the non wearable rare counts look too low when you multiply x5. The analysis does seem directionally helpful.
"This world is but a canvas to our imagination." -Henry David Thoreau

13-Oct-2020 06:39:23

Trip180
Mar Member 2020

Trip180

Posts: 16,481Opal Posts by user Forum Profile RuneMetrics Profile
Inaccurate but one piece of evidence. As price goes up, you expect more items to enter the market. So, if I buy 50 pumpkins, that won't necessarily impact the market. Krim might sell all 50 and buy eggs with the proceeds. Conan, what is best in life? Phats and beach tokens.
"[T]he great Empire, at the very instant when it had discovered Roman roads and Roman trophies to be vanity ... finding nothing but its own intolerable omnipresence—finding nothing but Roman trophies and Roman roads?" - GKC

13-Oct-2020 20:08:40

Fun Lupon

Fun Lupon

Posts: 7,237Rune Posts by user Forum Profile RuneMetrics Profile
Well at least we know these numbers must outdated now as many players take breaks from playing. Otherwise last week, over 24 hours, 10,000+ Santa Hats rose by 2b, and ~2700 Black Santa Hats rose by 5b.

That's 33.5 Trillion gp in one day. Imagine it's the equivalent of 50k players making 600m. Since many players have left, the real figure must be less.

29-Sep-2021 13:45:58

Destruction

Destruction

Posts: 45,206Sapphire Posts by user Forum Profile RuneMetrics Profile
Older thread but I like it. Numbers are inaccurate but this is very interesting to see.
The action or process of causing so much damage to something that it no longer exists or cannot be repaired.

29-Sep-2021 14:20:48

Raphtalia6
Oct Member 2017

Raphtalia6

Posts: 926Gold Posts by user Forum Profile RuneMetrics Profile
feels like a sort of guideline about quantity. doesnt really reflect todays market maybe the owner of the thread could take a new look at it?. it would help alot. 2022 is here!. new santa? check!. new phat? check!. tuffty's funny jokes? check!. lets get this year started!!

29-Sep-2021 15:27:21

Tuffty
Jan
fmod Member
2003

Tuffty

Forum Moderator Posts: 148,319Ruby Posts by user Forum Profile RuneMetrics Profile
If you need to discuss something thats been posted on another thread you would be far better off asking on that thread instead of a new seperate thread. Even if the thread is several months old and your question is relivent it shouldn't get locked for Gravebumping. After all you are asking a legit question about something that caught your eye.

So in a nutshell please ask on the thread where you got the question from.

This was locked as a duplicate question.

Also remember anything posted on the thread in question is well over 12 months old so the data is old. Very old. ;)
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30-Sep-2021 10:12:16

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